NIFTY (-121, 25355)
Sensex (-346, 83190)
Bank Nifty (-258, 56956)

Nifty drifts lower as bullish sentiments face headwinds from lingering US tariffs.

Focus turns to TCS Q1and its press conference which is likely at 5:30 PM.

1) Momentum on the buy side was seen fading as bullish traders were awaiting US-India trade deal confirmation.

2) Additionally, Nifty bears got a boost on backdrop of a wave of tariff demand letters from President Trump, and most importantly, the latest threats on copper imports—fueling concerns over broader trade disruptions.

3) Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump announced a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports, effective August 1. In response, Brazilian President Lula da Silva vowed to retaliate under newly passed legislation authorizing proportional countermeasures.

4) Also, the minutes from the FOMC’s June meeting showed that the Fed officials were divided on the timing and extent of potential interest rate cuts.

5) Nifty now really needs some big trigger to jump towards Nifty’s all-high at 26277.35 mark.

Bottom-line: Caution prevails as Nifty bulls seen giving up hope on a favorable US-INDIA tariff deal.

TODAY’S MARKET RE-CAP:

1) Nifty ends the day on a negative footing as bullish traders seen unloading their long positions.

2) Bank Nifty too slips joining the conga-line of sliding theme at the broader markets. Bank Nifty’s new all-time-high continues to be at 57628.40 mark

3) India VIX tumbles further towards 11.65 levels.

4) The market breadth (13:37) was clearly in favor of bears.

5) The Nifty Mid-cap (-0.47%) and Nifty Small-cap (-0.31%) indices ended with minor cuts.

6) Among sectoral indices, maximum sluggishness was witnessed in Nifty PSU BANKS (-0.86%) followed by Nifty INFRA (-0.71%) and then NIFTY IT (-0.66%) indices but that said, buying was witnessed in Nifty REALITY (+0.73%) and Nifty METALS (+0.40%).

Bottom-line: Nifty witnesses an uninspiring session and the negative takeaway was that the benchmark ended on a jittery note.

STOCK ALERT:

1) Emcure Pharmaceuticals (+1.98%) advanced after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) conducted a pre-approval inspection (PAI) at its manufacturing facility (Oncology) located at G.I.D.C., Sanand, Ahmedabad, Gujarat.

2) HDFC AMC (+1.28%) and NAM India (+1.8%) on reports that the net inflow into equity mutual funds surged 24% to Rs 23,587 crore in June, reversing the declining trend of the last five months

BUZZING STOCKS FOR THE DAY:

🚀 Top Nifty Gainers

INDUSINDBNK (+1.56%)
MARUTI (+1.40%)
TATASTEEL (+1.03%)
BAJFINANCE (+0.66%)
JIOFIN (+0.61%)

📉 Top Nifty Losers

BHARTIARTL (-2.76%)
ASIANPAINT (-2.06%)
HDFCLIFE (-2.05%)
APOLLOHOSP (-1.55%)
SHRIRAMFIN (-1.37%)

Adv-Dec 11—39

INDIA VIX 11.67 (-2.26%)

NIFTY PCR (17th July) 0.70

NIFTY PCR (31st July) 1.17

USD/INR Futures (July) (-0.04%, 85.74)

OUR VIEW FOR FRIDAY’S TRADE

A bearish candle is being formed on the daily charts of Nifty and Bank Nifty’s daily charts after yesterday’s bearish spinning top candle indicating some element of downside risk in the near term.more gains on cards in the near term.

Technically, Aggressive upside targets continue to be at Nifty’s all-time-high at 26277.35 mark, but that said, confirmation of strength only above 25270 mark.

Meanwhile, the biggest interweek support for Nifty will be at 25000 (low as on June 24th).

The biggest make-or-break support for Friday’s trade is placed at 25277 mark.

ALL ABOUT NIFTY:
Nifty (CMP: 25355)
Support: 25221/25000
Resistance: 25501/25670
Range: 25267-25494
21 DMA: 25227
50 DMA: 24939
200 DMA: 24091
Trend: Neutral

BULLISH LOOKING STOCKS:

JIOFIN

AUBANK

NATIONALUM

BULLISH LOOKING STOCKS (LONG TERM):

ALIVUS

SUZLON

GULF OIL

BEARISH LOOKING STOCKS:

BHARTIARTL

HAL

PIIND

STOCKS TO AVOID:

TCS

DMART

L&T

Disclaimer: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🇮🇳 🙏


OPTION TRADE

Open Buy: NIL

Open Sell: NIL

Closed Calls: NIFTY CE (-6600)

OPTION TRADE LOSS: -6600

INTRADAY TRADE:

Open Buy: NIL

Open Sell: NIL

Closed Calls: NIL

INTRADAY TRADE PROFIT: NIL

JACKPOT TRADE

Open Buy: NIL

Open Sell: NIL

Closed Calls: NIL

JACKPOT TRADE PROFIT: NIL

INDEX TRADE

Open Buy:

Open Sell: NIL

Closed Calls: NIL

INDEX TRADE PROFIT: NIL

BTST/STBT:

Open Buy: BDL

Open Sell: NIL

Closed Calls: NIL

BTST/STBT PROFIT: NIL

FORMULA ONE (F1)

Open Buy: NIL

Open Sell: NIL

Closed Calls: NIL (-6600)

FORMULA ONE (F1) LOSS: -6600

SWING TRADE:

Open Buy: MARUTI, FSN, CIPLA, BANKINDIA, INDHOTEL, IOC, CHAMBALFERT, TRANS RAIL, NATIONALUM, NAUKRI, RITES, SBI CARD,

Open Sell: NIL

Closed Calls: RATNAMANI METALS (+3.63%)

SWING TRADE PROFIT: +3.63%

PURE INVESTMENT CALL (BINOCULAR):

Open Buy: SNOWMAN, GMRINFRA, EXICOM, GAIL, YATRA, ADANI POWER, EVEREST INDUSTRIES, ZOMATO, NILKAMAL

Closed Calls: NIL

PURE INVESTMENT CALL (BINOCULAR) PROFIT: NIL

TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS FOR THE DAY:

OPTION TRADE: (-6600)

JACKPOT TRADE: (NIL)

INTRADAY TRADE: (NIL)

INDEX TRADE: (NIL)

BTST/STBT: (NIL)

Formula One: (-6600)

SWING TRADE: (NIL)

PURE INVESTMENT CALL (BINOCULAR): (NIL)

Disclaimer: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for n investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🙏🇮🇳


Nifty is seen treading water as bulls seen unimpressed by strong overnight gains at Wall Street in overnight trade.

Nifty (-93, 25383)
Sensex (-301, 83235)
Bank Nifty (-68, 57148)

Nifty (CMP: 25383)

SUPPORT: 25221/25001
RESISTANCE: 25670/26277
TRADING RANGE (25300-24550)

SECTOR GAINER:

Nifty RETAIL (+0.38%)

SECTOR LOSER:

NIFTY PHARMA (-0.93%)
NIFTY IT (-0.83%)
NIFTY INFRA (-0.49%)

Top Index Gainers:
MARUTI (+0.71%)
INDUSIND BANK (+0.68%)
ULTRATECH CEMENT (+0.62%)
JIO FINANCIAL (+0.55%)
AXIS BANK (+0.51%)

Top Index Losers:
BHARTI AIRTEL (-1.69%)
TECH MAHINDRA (-1.32%)
CIPLA (-1.19%)
COAL INDIA (-1.18%)
SUN PHARMA (-1.13%)

KEY THEMES FOR THE DAY:

1) A little bit feeling of anxiousness and nervousness seen ahead of news of US-India tariff deal.

2) Stock markets across the globe are trading with caution after US President Donald Trump insisted on the bulk of US trading partners will actually kick in on August 1.

3) Our call of the day suggests that tariff volatility is likely to keep investors on the sidelines and the negative takeaway is that there is no end in sight for tariff uncertainties.

4) India VIX trades sluggish near the 12.10 levels.

5) Bank Nifty (-0.09%) inches a tad lower, indicating desired consolidation to be the preferred theme for the day.

Bank Nifty’s fresh all-time-high is at 57628.40 mark.

6) Nifty’s biggest support is placed at 25221 mark. Confirmation of strength only above 25670 mark.

7) ‘Fed Minutes from the June 17-18 FOMC Meeting Minutes point to lower inflation ahead’

8) TCS officially sets afire the ceremonial starters pistol for Q1 earning season on July 10th after market hours. TCS press conference is likely at 5:30 pm

TCS officially sets afire the ceremonial starters pistol for Q1 earning season on July 10th after market hours.

TCS press conference is likely at 5:30 pm

11:30 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

Dow Futures: (-87, 44373)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (-53, 22812)

Nikkei (-285, 39545)
Hang Seng (+81, 23972)

Dollar Index (+0.11%, 97.37)
WTI OIL (-0.03%, 68.36)
Gold (+9, 3322)

Securities in Ban for Trade Date: Thursday, July 10th 2025
RBL BANK
HINDUSTAN COPPER

STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT:

1) Emcure Pharmaceuticals (+1.29%) advanced after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) conducted a pre-approval inspection (PAI) at its manufacturing facility (Oncology) located at G.I.D.C., Sanand, Ahmedabad, Gujarat.

2) Orient Technologies shed 0.59% after the company announced that it has received a purchase order worth Rs 29.86 crore from Protean eGov Technologies for the procurement, setup, and support of AWS infrastructure.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🇮🇳 🇮🇳 🙏🏻


*As of writing, the big trading theme revolves around 3-catalysts:

1) Tariff threats.
2) ‘Fed Minutes from the June 17-18 FOMC Meeting Minutes point to lower inflation ahead’
3) TCS officially sets afire the ceremonial starters pistol for Q1 earning season on July 10th after market hours. TCS press conference is likely at 5:30 pm

Technically speaking, at the moment, Nifty is aiming for its all-time-high at 26277.35 mark, and we suspect the benchmark could break-out even higher with a little bit of good news.

That said, confirmation of strength only above the Nifty 25670 mark.

The biggest support to watch on Nifty is placed at 25221 mark.

Long story short: Proceed with caution at Dalal Street.

9:00 am GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+5, 25535)
Dow Futures: (-97, 44362)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (-44, 22821)

Nikkei (-245, 39576)
Hang Seng (+12, 23903)

Dollar Index (+0.10%, 97.38)
WTI OIL (+0.03%, 68.21)
Gold (+7, 3319)

Securities in Ban for Trade Date: Thursday, July 10th 2025

RBL BANK
HINDUSTAN COPPER

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🇮🇳 🇮🇳 🙏🏻


TOP SECTORS:

Bullish Sector: BANKNIFTY, IT, PHARMA

Bearish Sector: MEDIA

STOCKS TO WATCH:

BULLISH STOCKS (Long Build-up+ Short Covering): BDL, JIO FINANCIAL, TATA CONSUMER, M&M, CUMMINS INDIA, ICICI PRUDENTIAL, IGL, JINDAL STEEL, GODREJ CONSUMERS, LIC, NTPC, POLICY BAZAR, VBL, VOLTAS.

BEARISH STOCKS (Long Unwinding + Short Buildup): TITAN, AXIS BANK, TRENT, INDUSIND BANK.

Our chart of the day is bullish on BDL, NTPC, and M&M on any early intraday weakness with an interweek perspective.

The 1 stock to BUY right now:

BUY BDL (CMP 1985): Buy at CMP. Stop at 1923. Targets 2007/2023. Aggressive targets at 2097. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Massive breakout play on cards. The stock enjoyed strong sessions in yesterday’s session, up 0.79%. Momentum oscilitors in bullish mode. Key interweek support 1937. Major hurdles at 2097.

Happy Trading Day ahead

Disclaimer: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


INDEX Derivatives
Previous FUTURE Closing to SPOT

NIFTY on 09.07.25 @ +74

NIFTY on 08.07.25 @ +100

NIFTY PCR

NIFTY – 1.19

BANKNIFTY PCR

BANKNIFTY – 0.96

MAX CE OI

NIFTY – 26000, 25500

BNF – 56000

SHORT Buildup

NIFTY – 25400-26000

MAX PE OI

NIFTY – 25000, 25500

BNF – 56000

LONG Buildup

25300-25600

STOCK Derivatives:

Long Buildup: # BIOCON # IEX # AUBANK # BDL # ASIANPAINTS

Long Unwinding: # IGL # COFORGE # MPHASIS # LICI

Short Buildup : # GODREJPROP # RELIANCE # MAXHEALTH # MCX

Short Covering : # ITC # NYKAA # RBLBANK # SBICARD

Stocks banned in F&O Segment: HINDCOPPER, RBLBANK

New in Ban: HINDCOPPER

Out of Ban: NIL

July 09th 2025 FII/DII:

FII : +77 crores.

DII: +₹ 920.83 crores

BSE Derivatives Data

SENSEX Futures on 09.07.25 @ +274
SENSEX Futures on 08.07.25 @ +247

SENSEX PCR
1.17

BANKEX PCR
0.97

MAX CE OI

SENSEX – 84000

BANKEX – 64000

MAX PE OI

SENSEX – 82000

BANKEX – 64000

Happy Trading Day ahead

Disclaimer: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🙏🇮🇳.


GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+43, 25573)

The big trading theme revolves around 2-catalysts:

1) Tariff threats.
2) TCS officially sets afire the ceremonial starters pistol for Q1 earning season on July 10th after market hours. TCS press conference is likely at 5:30 pm

Now, here is next big news making headlines this Thursday…

‘Fed Minutes from the June 17-18 FOMC Meeting Minutes point to lower inflation ahead’

…while the majority of policymakers continued to have concerns regarding the inflationary pressures anticipated from President Donald Trump’s implementation of import taxes aimed at altering global trade,

We will spy with one big eye if inflation shock in the US from tariffs is “temporary or modest.”

Our call of the day suggests Nifty shall swing between small gains and small loss.

The biggest support to watch on Nifty is placed at 25221 mark.

Technically speaking, confirmation of strength is only above the 25670 mark.

The Gyan Mantra: Stay nimble as there could be some “whipsaw” in the near term.

Amongst stock specific action:

1) Reliance Industries fell 1.21% on media reports that its telecom and digital arm, Reliance Jio Platforms, has shelved plans to go public in 2025.

2) Tata Motors is likely to trade sluggish in near term after the company’s global wholesales (including Jaguar Land Rover) declined 9% to 2,99,664 units compared with Q1 FY26. Global wholesale of all Tata Motors’ commercial vehicles and the Tata Daewoo range in Q1 FY26 was at 87,569, lower by 6% over Q1 FY25.

3) JSW Steel slipped 0.44% despite the company recording consolidated steel production of 7.26 million tonnes in Q1 FY26, up 14% as compared with the production volume of 6.35 million tonnes reported in Q1 FY25.

4) Aurionpro Solutions rose 0.93% after the company announced that it has secured a multi-million-dollar contract to deploy its digital banking platform for a leading African bank.

Now, here is the preferred trade on Nifty and Bank Nifty:

Nifty (25476): Buy between 25400-25450 zone. Stop at 25171. Targets 25670/25750. Aggressive targets at 26100-26277.35 zone.

Bank Nifty (57214): Buy between 56900-57100 zone. Stop at 56011. Targets 57450/57700. Aggressive targets at 58300-58500 zone.

Our chart of the day is bullish on BDL, NTPC, and M&M on any early intraday weakness with an interweek perspective.

The 1 Stock to Buy Now: Buy BDL (CMP 1985): Buy at CMP. Stop at 1923. Targets 2007/2023. Aggressive targets at 2097. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Massive breakout play on cards. The stock enjoyed strong sessions in yesterday’s session, up 0.79%. Momentum oscilitors in bullish mode. Key interweek support 1937. Major hurdles at 2097.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


First, the good news: Overnight at Wall Street, the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.94% to close at a record high, while the Dow and S&P 500 gained 0.49% and 0.61%, respectively, and most importantly, logged their first gains in three sessions.

The Positive Catalyst: Investors cheer Fed-rate cut talks.

Gift Nifty is pointing to open with positive bias as investors cheer Fed-rate cut talks.

Our call of the day however suggests it’s likely to be a choppy and whipsaw kind of day for the benchmark Nifty.

Blame it on tariff muddy outlook. Strictly speaking, tariff volatility is back on the front pages and the negative takeaway is that there is no end in sight for tariff uncertainties.

This Thursday morning, Japanese Nikkei is trading with negative bias amidst stalled trade negotiations between the US and Japan.

The street fears that Trump’s tariff threats could dampen global growth and curb demand for industrial metals.

Long story short: Proceed with caution at Dalal Street.

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty: (+45, 25575)
Dow Futures: (-55, 44404)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (-31, 22834)

Nikkei (-230, 39591)
Hang Seng (-27, 23865)

Dow Jones (+218, 44458)
Nasdaq Composite (+193, 20611)
Bovespa (-1822, 137481).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN OVERNIGHT TRADE:

The good news was that the ‘Fed Minutes from the June 17-18 FOMC Meeting Minutes point to lower inflation ahead’ as Fed members considered a reduction in the fed funds rate, noting that upward pressure on inflation from tariffs may be temporary or modest, and that some weakening of economic activity and labor market conditions could occur.

However, few Fed officials makers highlighted that uncertainty about the outlook was elevated due to trade policy, other government policies, and geopolitical risks, but that overall uncertainty had diminished since the previous meeting.

As on Wednesday’s close, the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.9% to 20,611, the S&P 500 was up 0.6%% at 6,263, and the Dow Jones rose 0.5% to 44,458.

Brazilian Bovespa tumbled 1.3% after President Donald Trump announced a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports, citing unfair trade practices.

Copper prices traded firm at $5.59 per pound as the theme revolves around Trump announcing plans to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports.

Gold prices ($3319 per ounce) was seen consolidating with positive bias.

WTI crude oil futures were seen consolidating with slight positive bias, now near the $68.19 per barrel.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.