MARKET TRENDS:

Global cues: Neutral
FII: (-26.12 crores)
DII: (+1366.82 crores)
Sentiment: Bullish
Market Breadth: Positive
Technicals: Overbought conditions.
F&O: 25000 – 26000 zone.

India VIX 12.20 (-2.91%)
USD/INR Futures (29th July) 85.75
Nifty PCR (31st July) 1.18
Bank Nifty PCR (31st July) 0.98

Nifty Outlook: Nifty could wobble as Trump says ‘no extensions’ after Aug. 1 tariff deadline.

WHAT TECHNICALS TELLS US ON NIFTY & BANK NIFTY:

NIFTY (CMP 25523):
SUPPORT: 25415/25221
RESISTANCE: 25670/26277
RANGE: 25400-25750
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 25199
50 DMA: 24896
200 DMA: 24091

SENSEX (CMP 83713):
SUPPORT: 83363/82733
RESISTANCE: 84100/85978
RANGE: 83500-84500
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 82637
50 DMA: 81850
200 DMA: 79326

BANK NIFTY (CMP 57256)
SUPPORT: 56900/56100
RESISTANCE: 57615/58300
RANGE: 56900-57900
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 56553
50 DMA: 55810
200 DMA: 52223

Nifty: In Tuesday’s trade, Nifty started the day on a cautious note but bullishness improved as the session progressed and the positive takeaway was that Nifty ended on a strong positive footing.

Nifty’s all-time-high continues to be at 26277.35 mark.

The technical landscape suggests Nifty’s major support at 25300/25221 mark.

Nifty’s hurdles seen 25670/26277 mark.

Nifty’s 200 DMA at 24091 mark.

Nifty’s chart of the day suggests Nifty may waver in an up-and-down session with slight bullish bias and Nifty’s biggest intraday hurdles at 25670 mark.

Bank Nifty: In Tuesday’s trade, Bank Nifty started the session on a cautious note, and the wavering prevailed all-thru the trading session, but the positive takeaway was that the benchmark ended on a positive note.

Bank Nifty’s all-time now is at 57628.40 mark.

Bank Nifty was seen mirroring Nifty’s rebounding theme action, ending 0.54% higher as against Nifty’s 0.24% gains.

Interestingly, Nifty PSU Banks ended 0.25% lower while Nifty Private Bank Index ended with 0.66% gains.

Intraday support for Bank Nifty now seen at 56900/56100 mark and then at 55483 mark on closing basis.

In today’s trade and in near term, Bank Nifty is likely to face resistance at 57615 mark and then at 58300 mark. Bank Nifty’s 200-DMA is placed at 52223 mark.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🇮🇳 🇮🇳 🙏🏻


GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (-25, 25580)

As of recording, US-India, trade deal is yet to be out…

But, please note, Donald Trump has warned that the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates) with 10% additional tariff.

Trump has said that BRIC countries will neither create a new BRICS Currency, nor back any other Currency to replace the mighty U.S. Dollar or, they will face 100% Tariffs, and should expect to say goodbye to selling into the wonderful U.S. Economy.

On the face of it, the Trump administration has not appreciated BRICS Nation condemning attacks on Iran, Gaza war, and Trump’s tariffs.

Looks like the situation is heating up as the Brazilian President Lula responded to Trump’s tariff threats by saying the world does not ‘want an emperor’ who lashes out over the internet.

Long story short: The need of hour is global cooperation and the proposed tariff does not hit consumers across globe, financial markets across globe, and the global economy.

Until a favorable tariff deal is not arrived at, expect volatility, volatility and volatility to be the hallmark for Nifty and its stocks.

The biggest support to watch on Nifty is placed at 25221 mark.

Aside from Trump tariff news, this week, the spotlight will also be on other 2-catalysts:

1) The release of the FOMC minutes on July 9th
2) TCS officially sets afire the ceremonial starters pistol for Q1 earning season on July 10th.

The Gyan Mantra: Stay nimble as there could be some “whipsaw” in the near term.

Please note, Whipsaw describes a market that seems to be trending in one direction but then violently reverses course

Technically speaking, confirmation of strength is only above the 25670 mark.

Amongst stock specific action:

1) Titan’s stock price tumbled 6.17% after Q1 business update fails to impress Dalal-Street.

2) The Nifty Pharma index (-0.96%) was the biggest underperformer in a slow, steady and improving market.

3) Kotak Mahindra Bank (+3.45%) was star outperformer after the bank’s average total deposits jumped 12.9% to Rs 4,91,998 crore as of 30th June 2025 compared with Rs 4,35,603 crore as of 30th June 2024.

4) Mahindra & Mahindra inched 0.09% after the company’s total sales jumped 14.27% to 76,335 units in June 2025 compared with 66,800 units in June 2024.

5) Macrotech Developers shed 0.24% despite reporting a 10% jump in pre-sales to Rs 4,450 crore in Q1 FY26 compared with Rs 4,030 crore in Q1 FY25. Collections rose 7% YoY to Rs 2,880 crore in Q1 FY26.

Now, before we get into detail of today’s trading session, here is the preferred trade on Nifty and Bank Nifty:

Nifty (25523): Buy between 25450-25500 zone. Stop at 25171. Targets 25670/25750. Aggressive targets at 26100-26277.35 zone.

Bank Nifty (57256): Buy between 56900-57100 zone. Stop at 56011. Targets 57450/57700. Aggressive targets at 58300-58500 zone.

Our chart of the day is bullish on BDL, NTPC, and HPCL on any early intraday weakness with an interweek perspective.

The 1 Stock to Buy Now: Buy BDL (CMP 1970): Buy at CMP. Stop at 1923. Targets 2007/2023. Aggressive targets at 2097. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Massive breakout play on cards. The stock enjoyed strong sessions in yesterday’s session, up 1.35%. Momentum oscilitors in bullish mode. Key interweek support 1937. Major hurdles at 2097.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🇮🇳 🇮🇳 🙏🏻


🇬🇧 Great Britain : BoE Financial Stability Report, 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction, BoE Financial Stability Report, BoE FPC Meeting Minutes

🇯🇵 Japan : Machine Tool Orders (YoY) (Jun)

🇺🇸 USA : MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate, MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW), MBA Purchase Index, Mortgage Market Index, Mortgage Refinance Index, Wholesale Inventories (MoM) (May), Wholesale Trade Sales (MoM) (May), Crude Oil Inventories, EIA Refinery Crude Runs (WoW), Crude Oil Imports, Cushing Crude Oil Inventories, Distillate Fuel Production, EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks, Gasoline Production, Heating Oil Stockpiles, EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates (WoW), Gasoline Inventories, Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Jul), 10-Year Note Auction, Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2), FOMC Meeting Minutes

🇮🇳 India : M3 Money Suppl


TOP SECTORS:

Bullish Sector: BANKNIFTY, IT, REALTY

Bearish Sector: AUTO

STOCKS TO WATCH:

BULLISH STOCKS (Long Build-up+ Short Covering): BDL, JIO FINANCIAL, TATA CONSUMER, CUMMINS INDIA, DIXON TECHNOLOGY, ICICI PRUDENTIAL, IGL, JINDAL STEEL, GODREJ CONSUMERS, LIC, NTPC, POLICY BAZAR, VBL, VOLTAS.

BEARISH STOCKS (Long Unwinding + Short Buildup): TITAN, AXIS BANK, CAMS, TRENT, INDUSIND BANK.

Our chart of the day is bullish on BDL, NTPC, and HPCL on any early intraday weakness with an interweek perspective.

The 1 stock to BUY right now:

BUY BDL (CMP 1970): Buy at CMP. Stop at 1923. Targets 2007/2023. Aggressive targets at 2097. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Massive breakout play on cards. The stock enjoyed strong sessions in yesterday’s session, up 1.35%. Momentum oscilitors in bullish mode. Key interweek support 1937. Major hurdles at 2097.

Happy Trading Day ahead

Disclaimer: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🙏🇮🇳


INDEX Derivatives
Previous FUTURE Closing to SPOT

NIFTY on 08.07.25 @ +100

NIFTY on 07.07.25 @ +80

NIFTY PCR

NIFTY – 1.19

BANKNIFTY PCR

BANKNIFTY – 0.98

MAX CE OI

NIFTY – 26000, 25500

BNF – 57000

SHORT Covering

NIFTY – 25000-25600

MAX PE OI

NIFTY – 25000, 24500

BNF – 56000

SHORT Buildup

25000-25600

STOCK Derivatives:

Long Buildup: # ASIANPAINT # IEX # SBIN # BEL

Long Unwinding: # AXISBANK # BHARATFORGE # BOSCHLTD

Short Buildup : # AUROPHARMA # TITAN # LUPIN # CDSL # MCX

Short Covering : # BAJFINANCE # COFORGE # JUBLFOOD # VEDL

Stocks banned in F&O Segment: RBLBANK

New in Ban: NIL

Out of Ban: NIL

July 08th 2025 FII/DII:

FII : -26.12 crores.

DII: +₹ 1366.82 crores

BSE Derivatives Data

SENSEX Futures on 08.07.25 @ +247
SENSEX Futures on 07.07.25 @ +207

SENSEX PCR
1.13

BANKEX PCR
1.20

MAX CE OI

SENSEX – 84000

BANKEX – 64000

MAX PE OI

SENSEX – 82000

BANKEX – 64000

Happy Trading Day ahead

Disclaimer: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🙏🇮🇳.


*As of writing, the big question on every investors mind:

Can Trump tariff threat ruin the party at Dalal Street?

As of writing, US-India, trade deal is yet to be out…

Meanwhile, reports suggests, Trump stands firm on August 1st deadline. ‘No Extensions’.

Please note, Donald Trump has warned that the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates) with 10% additional tariff.

The biggest support to watch on Nifty is placed at 25221 mark.

Long story short: Proceed with caution at Dalal Street as Trump Reboots the Tariff Trade.

Technically speaking, confirmation of strength is only above the 25670 mark.

9:00 am GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (-13, 25591)
Dow Futures: (-22, 44219)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+7, 22710)

Nikkei (-24, 39664)
Hang Seng (-191, 23957)

Dollar Index (+0.11%, 97.68)
WTI OIL (+0.03%, 68.21)
Gold (-10, 3290

Securities in Ban for Trade Date: Wednesday, July 9th 2025

RBL BANK

This week, the spotlight will be also on other 2-catalysts:

1) The release of the FOMC minutes on July 9th
2) TCS officially sets afire the ceremonial starters pistol for Q1 earning season on July 10th.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🇮🇳 🇮🇳 🙏🏻


Nifty bulls are aiming hard to float above the dotted lines with “Butterflies in the Stomach”.

A little bit feeling of nervousness or excitement seen ahead of news of US-India tariff deal.

Nifty (+3, 25526)
Sensex (-22, 83690)
Bank Nifty (-87, 57166)

Nifty (CMP: 25526)

SUPPORT: 25401/25221
RESISTANCE: 25670/26277
TRADING RANGE (25400-24650)

SECTOR GAINER:

Nifty FMCG (+0.53%)
NIFTY AUTO (+0.34%)
NIFTY PHARMA (+0.15%)

SECTOR LOSER:

NIFTY REALITY (-0.91%)
NIFTY METAL (-0.84%)
NIFTY IT (-0.66%)

Top Index Gainers:
JIO FINANCIAL (+1.73%)
BAJAJ FINANCIAL +1.53%)
SHRIRAM FINANCE (+1.38%)
ASIAN PAINTS (+1.10%)
HUL (+1.02%)

Top Index Losers:
TATA STEEL (-1.78%)
HCL TECH (-1.67%)
HINDALCO (-1.14%)
WIPRO (-0.91%)
DR REDDYS LAB (-0.83%)

KEY THEMES FOR THE DAY:

Stock markets across the globe are trading with caution after US President Donald Trump insisted on the bulk of US trading partners will actually kick in on August 1.

Copper prices had earlier spiked to record highs at $5.8 per pound after Trump announced plans to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports.

Gold prices ($3291 per ounce) was seen consolidating on the backdrop of a tempered Federal Reserve dovish outlook offset concerns over renewed trade tensions.

2) The street is bit hopeful and easing investors’ concerns is the fact that the August 1st deadline allows more time for negotiations. Moreover, the 25% tariff starting August 1st is lower than the previously threatened rate of up to 35%.

3) Our call of the day suggests that tariff volatility is back on the front pages and the negative takeaway is that there is no end in sight for tariff uncertainties.

4) India VIX drops towards 11.93 levels.

3) Bank Nifty (-0.13%) inches a tad lower, indicating desired consolidation to be the preferred theme for the day.

Bank Nifty’s fresh all-time-high is at 57628.40 mark.

4) Nifty’s biggest support is placed at 25221 mark. Confirmation of strength only above 25670 mark.

11:30 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

Dow Futures: (-21, 44219)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (-9, 22693)

Nikkei (+101, 39790)
Hang Seng (-226, 23921)

Dollar Index (-0.01%, 97.57)
WTI OIL (-0.06%, 68.13)
Gold (-11, 3290)

Securities in Ban for Trade Date: Tuesday, July 8th 2025
RBL BANK

STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT:

Synergy Green Industries (SGIL) gained 7% after the company secured a development order for 3.3 MW turbine parts from Adani Wind, the wind energy division of Adani New Industries.

JSW Steel (+0.19%) rings 14% YoY growth in Q1 FY26 steel production volume. The firm has recorded consolidated steel production of 7.26 million tonnes in Q1 FY26, up 14% as compared with production volume of 6.35 million tonnes reported in Q1 FY25.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

🇮🇳 🇮🇳 🙏🏻