GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+217, 25973)
Bullish euphoria and an early Diwali party is quite likely at Dalal Street.
Festive Cheer for Nifty Bulls. The 3-Positive Catalysts:
1) Fed’s rate cuts bets are likely to overshadow near-term trade concerns.
2) Global tailwinds, especially strong Wall Street cues.
3) The IMF’s upward revision of India’s FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.6%.
Technically speaking, aggressive interweek targets placed at 25,670 (High as on June 30, 2025) — as bullish momentum looks poised to extend.
Helping sentiments will also be:
1) Comments from Fed Chair Powell who has reinforced expectations for an October rate cut and hinted at a possible pause in balance sheet runoff.
2) Fading trade war fears
3) WTI crude oil futures stayed depressed near $58.60 per barrel, near its five-month low as investors weighed escalating US-China tensions and a bearish outlook from the International Energy Agency.
Key Q2 Earnings on radar:
• Thursday, October 16 – Infosys, Jio Financial, LTIMindtree, Mastek, Nestlé India, Wipro, and Zee Entertainment.
• Friday, October 17 – Reliance Industries, the centerpiece of the earnings season.
Long story short: Make Hay while the Sun Shines! Festive Spirit on Dalal Street Quite Likely!
STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT
Here are 5-stocks which reported Q2 post Friday’s closing:
1) Reliance delivers robust Q2. RIL Q2FY26 results: Net profit rose 14% to ₹22,092 crore, revenue up 10%
2) HDFC Bank Q2 net profit rises 11% YoY to Rs 18,641 crore; asset quality improves, comfortably surpassed Street estimates. Asset quality improved on a yearly basis.
3) ICICI Bank Q2 net profit rose to Rs 12,359 crore, beating street estimates, driven by lower provisions and strong core performance.
4) UltraTech Cement’s Q2 net profit jumps 75% on-year to Rs 1,232 crore, announces Rs 10,255 crore for capacity expansion
5) PNB reported a 14% year-on-year rise in net profit for the September quarter, supported by steady business growth, improved asset quality, and robust digital adoption. PNB’s net profit rose to ₹4,904 crore, up from ₹4,304 crore in the year-ago period.
The earnings calendar promises to be eventful. Key Earnings on radar this week:
Thursday, October 23 – HUL, COLPAL, LARUS LAB
Friday, October 24 – SBI LIFE, DR REDDYS LAB, SBI CARD, COFORGE,
Saturday, October 25 – KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK
Now, before we get into detail of today’s trading session, here is the preferred trade on Nifty and Bank Nifty:
Nifty (25324): Buy at CMP. Stop at 24971. Targets 25500/25670. Aggressive targets at 26277-26700 zone.
Bank Nifty (56800): Buy at CMP. Stop at 55745. Targets 57100/57630. Aggressive targets at 58100-58500 zone.
Our chart of the day is bullish on BAJAJ FINANCE, HUDCO, DLF, and HAL on any early excessive intraday weakness with an interweek/Intermonth perspective.
The 1 Stock to Buy Right Now: Buy MANAPPURAM (CMP 289): Buy at CMP. Stop at 269. Targets 301/313. Aggressive targets at 329. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Signalling a massive breakout on the upside. Aiming to enjoy strong session after recent outperformance. Key interweek support 274. Major hurdles only at 301 mark. 200-DMA at 238.
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