Gift Nifty is pointing to robust gains for our stock markets.

The 2-Biggest Positive Catalyst:

1) Cooler US CPI report.
2) Possible trade-deal between the US and China.

Bottom-line: A bullish rebound day is quite likely. Hopefully, Nifty reclaims 26000 mark on closing basis.

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+81, 25925)
Dow Futures: (+253, 47460)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+239, 25597)

Nikkei (+915, 50215)
Hang Seng (+336, 26496)

Dow Jones (+144, 46735)
Nasdaq Composite (+263, 23205)
Bovespa (+451, 146172).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN FRIDAY’S TRADE:

In Friday’s trade, Wall Street indices zoomed higher as investors cheered a tame US CPI inflation reading that confirmed a rate cut at next week’s Fed meeting.

The CME Group FedWatch, futures traders are currently pricing in a 97% chance the central bank will lower the federal funds rate by a quarter-percentage point this Wednesday, October 29th.

Odds of another rate cut in December have risen to 92% from 73% one month ago.

As on Friday’s close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.0% at 47,207, the S&P 500 was 0.8% higher at 6,791, and the Nasdaq Composite had gained 1.2% to 23,204 – new record highs for all three indexes.

Gold prices ($4076 per ounce) remained below $4,100 per ounce on Friday, after weaker-than-expected US CPI data boosted expectations of lower interest rate

WTI crude oil futures was flirting with the $62 per barrel, hovering at its highest level in over two weeks, as signs of a possible trade-deal between the US and China lifted the demand outlook.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Sunday that he has reached a “substantial framework” with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, which will be discussed when their respective leaders meet later this week.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

Gift Nifty is pointing to a higher start for our stock markets.

Investor optimism is fueled by expectations of:

1) The U.S. is reportedly set to slash tariffs on Indian imports to just 15–16%.

2) President Donald Trump and Xi Jinping set to meet next week to address tariff disputes and prevent further escalation.

3) Markets are pricing in two additional Fed rate cuts by year-end.

Investors turn to Friday’s US CPI report for fresh guidance on monetary policy.

Bottom-line: A positive start on cards as bulls may aim to ring Nifty’s 8th straight day of gains.

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+88, 26048)
Dow Futures: (+25, 46760)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+63, 25161)

Nikkei (+573, 49215)
Hang Seng (+209, 26177)

Dow Jones (+144, 46735)
Nasdaq Composite (+201, 22941)
Bovespa (+848, 145721).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN OVERNIGHT TRADE:

Wall Street stabilizes and trades with positive bias in overnight trade as the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.3% at 46,734, the broader S&P 500 was 0.6% higher at 6,738, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite had gained 0.9% to 22,941.

Gold prices ($4,125 per ounce) traded higher as investors weighed trade developments and geopolitical tensions that lifted the metal’s safe-haven appeal

Please note, gold remains up 60% year-to-date, supported by expectations of further Federal Reserve easing and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties

WTI crude oil futures have jumped towards $61.50 per barrel, reaching a two-week high, following the US announcement of sanctions on key Russian oil companies. The US has banned state-owned giants Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, in a move aimed at increasing pressure on the Kremlin over Moscow’s lack of commitment to peace in Ukraine.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

Gift Nifty is pointing to a gap-up start for our stock markets.

Investor optimism is fueled by expectations of:

1) The U.S. is reportedly set to slash tariffs on Indian imports to just 15–16%.

2) Easing US–China trade tensions, with Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping set to meet next week to address tariff disputes and prevent further escalation.

3) Markets are pricing in two additional Fed rate cuts by year-end.

Bottom-line: A super bullish start to Thursday’s trading is quite likely as investors turn to Friday’s CPI report for fresh guidance on monetary policy.

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+345, 26268)
Dow Futures: (-67, 46523)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+38, 24917)

Nikkei (-667, 48641)
Hang Seng (-63, 25719)

Dow Jones (-334, 46590)
Nasdaq Composite (-213, 22740)
Bovespa (+759, 144844).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN OVERNIGHT TRADE:

Wall Street seen hitting the speed bump.

Wall Street plunged in Wednesday’s trade as investors, traders and speculators wonder whether this remains a Magnificent 7 market and how long this AI-driven bull run will last.

The 2-big negative catalysts:

1) No end to the US government shutdown in sight.

2) Mixed-to-mostly-negative performance among the Magnificent 7 stocks that had driven the prodigious rally off April’s Liberation Day lows.

Gold prices ($4,050 per ounce) traded lower as traders booked profits following recent record rallies. On Tuesday, bullion had plunged over 5%, marking its steepest daily drop since August 2020.

Please note, gold remains up 60% year-to-date, supported by expectations of further Federal Reserve easing and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties

WTI crude oil futures have jumped towards $60 per barrel, reaching a two-week high, following the US announcement of sanctions on key Russian oil companies. The US has banned state-owned giants Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, in a move aimed at increasing pressure on the Kremlin over Moscow’s lack of commitment to peace in Ukraine.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

Gift Nifty is pointing to a gap-up start for our stock markets.

The Positive Catalyst: 5-stocks which reported spectacular Q2 post Friday’s closing:

1) Reliance delivers robust Q2. RIL Q2FY26 results: Net profit rose 14% to ₹22,092 crore, revenue up 10%

2) HDFC Bank Q2 net profit rises 11% YoY to Rs 18,641 crore; asset quality improves, comfortably surpassed Street estimates. Asset quality improved on a yearly basis.

3) ICICI Bank Q2 net profit rose to Rs 12,359 crore, beating street estimates, driven by lower provisions and strong core performance.

4) UltraTech Cement’s Q2 net profit jumps 75% on-year to Rs 1,232 crore, announces Rs 10,255 crore for capacity expansion

5) PNB reported a 14% year-on-year rise in net profit for the September quarter, supported by steady business growth, improved asset quality, and robust digital adoption. PNB’s net profit rose to ₹4,904 crore, up from ₹4,304 crore in the year-ago period.

Bottom-line: A super bullish day out is quite likely.

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+220, 25976)
Dow Futures: (+73, 46264)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+75, 24893)

Nikkei (+1227, 48814)
Hang Seng (+637, 25884)

Dow Jones (+238, 46191)
Nasdaq Composite (+117, 22680)
Bovespa (+1199, 143399).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN FRIDAY’S TRADE:

Wall Street stocks rose in Friday’s trade, as investors reacted positively to President Trump’s remarks easing fears of further trade escalation with China, while regional bank stocks rebounded following Thursday’s steep losses.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq each gained 0.5%, while Dow Jones rose 239 points. Trump said his proposed 100% tariffs on Chinese goods would not be sustainable.

In the week gone by, the S&P 500 and Dow added 1.7% and the Nasdaq booked a 2.2% rise.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

Gift Nifty is pointing to a cautious start for our stock markets.

The Negative Catalysts:

1) Sentiments remain wary of new tariffs and trade war talks from the White House.
2) The U.S. government shutdown.
3) Concerns of bad loans in the US resurface. So, hurting sentiments are the US Bank Worries which are Sparking Flight to Safety.

Bottom-line: A bullish consolidation day is quite likely.

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (-31, 25613)
Dow Futures: (-59, 45893)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (-7, 24653)

Nikkei (-203, 48075)
Hang Seng (Closed, 25889)

Dow Jones (-301, 45952)
Nasdaq Composite (-108, 22563)
Bovespa (-404, 142200).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN OVERNIGHT TRADE:

In Thursday’s trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 301 points, or 0.7%. The S&P 500 was down 0.6%. The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.5%.

Wall Street fell despite Tailwind: Dovish remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have rekindled optimism that the aggressive US rate-cut cycle may begin sooner than expected.

Gold prices ($4356 per ounce) scaled a new all-time-high at $4,365, amidst escalating US-China trade tensions and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts boosted demand for safe-haven assets.

WTI crude oil futures stayed depressed near $57.37 per barrel, near its five-month low as investors weighed escalating US-China tensions and a bearish outlook from the International Energy Agency. The agency also cut its demand growth forecast, citing a weaker economic outlook, while several industry executives warned that gasoline and diesel demand may have already peaked.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

Gift Nifty is pointing to modest positive opening after a sharp turnaround at Wall Street in overnight trade from their Friday’s drubbing action.

So, the biggest positive catalyst for the day: President Donald Trump suggested he may scale back his threat to impose steep new tariffs on China.

Bottom-line: A modest positive trading day quite is quite likely with Nifty bulls aiming for smart gains!

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+1, 25307)
Dow Futures: (+123, 46192)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+66, 24816)

Nikkei (-402, 47695)
Hang Seng (+80, 25969)

Dow Jones (+588, 46067)
Nasdaq Composite (+490, 22695)
Bovespa (+1103, 141783).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN OVERNIGHT TRADE:

The positive theme revolved around a Sunday’s post on Truth Social, where Trump wrote, “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine!”

And this seemed to be enough to calm Wall Street’s bearish nerves.

Gold prices ($4146 per ounce) surged past $4,100, setting a fresh record high as escalating US-China trade tensions and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts boosted demand for safe-haven assets.

The US dollar index (99.30) index rose as President Donald Trump walked back his threat to impose massive tariffs on China, saying in a Truth Social post that trade relations with the country “will all be fine.”

WTI crude oil futures stayed depressed near $59.85 per barrel, as investors weighed a smaller-than-expected OPEC+ output increase against persistent oversupply concerns and weak demand prospects.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.