GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+60, 25463)

Bullish euphoria and an early Diwali party is quite likely at Dalal Street.

Festive Cheer for Nifty Bulls. The 3-Positive Catalysts:

1) Fed’s rate cuts bets are likely to overshadow near-term trade concerns.

2) Global tailwinds, especially strong Wall Street cues.

3) The IMF’s upward revision of India’s FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.6%.

Technically speaking, aggressive interweek targets placed at 25,670 (High as on June 30, 2025) — as bullish momentum looks poised to extend.

Helping sentiments will also be:

1) Comments from Fed Chair Powell who has reinforced expectations for an October rate cut and hinted at a possible pause in balance sheet runoff.

2) Fading trade war fears

3) WTI crude oil futures stayed depressed near $58.60 per barrel, near its five-month low as investors weighed escalating US-China tensions and a bearish outlook from the International Energy Agency.

Key Q2 Earnings on radar:

• Thursday, October 16 – Infosys, Jio Financial, LTIMindtree, Mastek, Nestlé India, Wipro, and Zee Entertainment.

• Friday, October 17 – Reliance Industries, the centerpiece of the earnings season.

Long story short: Make Hay while the Sun Shines! Festive Spirit on Dalal Street Quite Likely!

STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT

1) HDFC Life was up 2.37% in yesterday’s trade after its Q2 Consolidated PAT Rose 3% YoY to ₹448 Crore; Net Premium Income Grew 14%

2) HDFC AMC (+3.04%) after the firm announced its first-ever 1:1 bonus issue, alongside a strong set of Q2 results. Net profit surged 24.6% YoY to ₹718.43 crore for Q2 FY26, compared to ₹576.61 crore in the year-ago period.

3) Persistent Systems (+7.24%) rallied after its Q2 results beat Street estimates. Robust growth in its key BFSI and healthcare verticals led +4.4% CC revenue growth QoQ (vs Est: +3.9% QoQ). And the cherry on top: Persistent also reported its highest-ever total contract value at $609 million; +15% YoY.

Key Earnings on radar:

• Thursday, October 16 – Infosys, Jio Financial, LTIMindtree, Mastek, Nestlé India, Wipro, and Zee Entertainment.

• Friday, October 17 – Reliance Industries, the centerpiece of the earnings season.

Now, before we get into detail of today’s trading session, here is the preferred trade on Nifty and Bank Nifty:

Nifty (25324): Buy at CMP. Stop at 24971. Targets 25500/25670. Aggressive targets at 26277-26700 zone.

Bank Nifty (56800): Buy at CMP. Stop at 55745. Targets 57100/57630. Aggressive targets at 58100-58500 zone.

Our chart of the day is bullish on BAJAJ FINANCE, HUDCO, DLF, and HAL on any early excessive intraday weakness with an interweek/Intermonth perspective.

The 1 Stock to Buy Right Now: Buy MANAPPURAM (CMP 289): Buy at CMP. Stop at 269. Targets 301/313. Aggressive targets at 329. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Signalling a massive breakout on the upside. Aiming to enjoy strong session after recent outperformance. Key interweek support 274. Major hurdles only at 301 mark. 200-DMA at 238.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


🇯🇵 Japan : Tertiary Industry Activity Index (Aug)

🇬🇧 Great Britain : Construction Output (MoM) (Aug), U.K. Construction Output (YoY) (Aug), GDP (MoM) (Aug), GDP (YoY) (Aug), Index of Services, Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug), Industrial Production (YoY) (Aug), Manufacturing Production (YoY) (Aug), Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Aug), Monthly GDP 3M/3M Change (Aug), Trade Balance (Aug), Trade Balance Non-EU (Aug), BOE Credit Conditions Survey, NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker

🇺🇸 USA : IMF Meetings, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct), Philly Fed Business Conditions (Oct), Philly Fed CAPEX Index (Oct), Philly Fed Employment (Oct), Philly Fed New Orders (Oct), Philly Fed Prices Paid (Oct), Business Inventories (MoM) (Aug), FOMC Member Bowman Speaks, NAHB Housing Market Index (Oct), Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Aug), Natural Gas Storage, 4-Week Bill Auction, 8-Week Bill Auction Crude Oil Inventories, EIA Refinery Crude Runs (WoW), Crude Oil Imports, Cushing Crude Oil Inventories, Distillate Fuel Production, EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks, Gasoline Production, Heating Oil Stockpiles, EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates (WoW), Gasoline Inventories, Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)


Good Morning Early, Readers!!

Gift Nifty is pointing to a modest positive open despite sentiments remain wary of new tariffs and trade war talks from the White House.

The positive Catalyst: Fed Chair Powell’s comments are reinforcing expectations for an October rate cut and hinted at a possible pause in balance sheet runoff.

6:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+35, 25438)
Dow Futures: (+17, 46270)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+12, 24757)

Nikkei (+371, 48035)
Hang Seng (Closed, 25911)

Dow Jones (-17, 46253)
Nasdaq Composite (+148, 22670)
Bovespa (+921, 142605).

Overnight, Wall Street had opened higher amidst strong bank earnings. But volatility spiked again, and all three main U.S. equity indexes briefly dipped into the red before regaining their respective footing towards the close.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantees performance of the intermediary or provides any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


Global cues: Positive
FII: (-240.10 crores)
DII: (+2333.42 crores)
Sentiment: Bullish
Market Breadth: Positive
Technicals: Rebound play
F&O: 24500 – 26000 zone.

INDIA VIX 11.00 (+8.91%)
USD/INR Futures (October) (88.74)
NIFTY PCR (28th October) 1.02
Bank Nifty PCR (28th October) 1.11

Nifty Outlook: Nifty likely to resume its journey on the upside amidst positive global cues.

WHAT TECHNICALS TELLS US ON NIFTY & BANK NIFTY:

NIFTY (CMP 25227):
SUPPORT: 25021/24801
RESISTANCE: 25351/25670
RANGE: 25000-25344
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 25055
50 DMA: 24861
200 DMA: 24189

SENSEX (CMP 82327)
SUPPORT: 81600/81100
RESISTANCE: 82750/83200
RANGE: 81500-82700
BIAS: Neutral
21 DMA: 81767
50 DMA: 81231
200 DMA: 79518

BANK NIFTY (CMP 56625)
SUPPORT: 55600/55000
RESISTANCE: 56900/57630
RANGE: 55800-56800
BIAS: Neutral
21 DMA: 55365
50 DMA: 55131
200 DMA: 53326

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


Gift Nifty is pointing to modest positive opening after a sharp turnaround at Wall Street in overnight trade from their Friday’s drubbing action.

So, the biggest positive catalyst for the day: President Donald Trump suggested he may scale back his threat to impose steep new tariffs on China.

Bottom-line: A modest positive trading day quite is quite likely with Nifty bulls aiming for smart gains!

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+1, 25307)
Dow Futures: (+123, 46192)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+66, 24816)

Nikkei (-402, 47695)
Hang Seng (+80, 25969)

Dow Jones (+588, 46067)
Nasdaq Composite (+490, 22695)
Bovespa (+1103, 141783).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN OVERNIGHT TRADE:

The positive theme revolved around a Sunday’s post on Truth Social, where Trump wrote, “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine!”

And this seemed to be enough to calm Wall Street’s bearish nerves.

Gold prices ($4146 per ounce) surged past $4,100, setting a fresh record high as escalating US-China trade tensions and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts boosted demand for safe-haven assets.

The US dollar index (99.30) index rose as President Donald Trump walked back his threat to impose massive tariffs on China, saying in a Truth Social post that trade relations with the country “will all be fine.”

WTI crude oil futures stayed depressed near $59.85 per barrel, as investors weighed a smaller-than-expected OPEC+ output increase against persistent oversupply concerns and weak demand prospects.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


Good Morning Early, Readers!!

Gift Nifty is trading a tad below the dotted lines but we suspect Nifty may open way above the dotted lines.

The Positive catalyst: President Trump adopted a softer tone on China trade, saying the “China situation will all be fine”

6:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (-2, 25305)
Dow Futures: (+92, 46160)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+66, 24816)

Nikkei (-402, 47695)
Hang Seng (Closed, 25889)

Dow Jones (+588, 46067)
Nasdaq Composite (+490, 22695)
Bovespa (+1103, 141783).

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantees performance of the intermediary or provides any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


FIIs post a modest sell figure at the start of a fresh week.⚠🛑

FII Cash: -240.1 Cr.
DII Cash: +2,333.4 Cr.

FII Idx Fut: -835.9 Cr.
FII Idx Opt: -1538.8 Cr.
Stk Fut: -2,501.7 Cr.
Stk Opt: +181.8 Cr.

FII Week Till Date
FII Cash: -240.1 Cr.
DII Cash: +2,333.4 Cr.

FII/DII Month till Date
FII Cash: -453.1 Cr.
DII Cash: +14,130.5 Cr.

FY-26 Till Date
FII Cash: -1,09,913.5 Cr.
DII Cash: +3,97,676.6 Cr.

Gift Nifty at 19:21 (25238, -42)


Nifty recoups intraday losses but ends the day in red. BankNifty outperforms!

NIFTY (-58, 25227)
Sensex (-174, 82327)
Bank Nifty (+15, 56625)

After a much expected gap-down start, bulls regrouped at lower levels as Nifty managed to end the day in mild red.

Earlier, the markets negatively reacted to Trumps imposition of additional 100% tariffs on Chinese goods w.e.f. November 1st 2025.

The good news is that the Indian Rupee recovered from the day’s lows to end marginally higher on Monday, even as the dollar index and crude oil prices advanced.

Long story short: Nifty’s massive recovery from lows have sparked a ray of hope in bulls camp

Adv-Dec 19—31

INDIA VIX 11.00 (+8.91%)

NIFTY PCR (14th OCT) 1.02

NIFTY PCR (28th OCT) 1.02

USD/INR Futures (Sep) (-0.07%, 88.74)

SECTOR GAINERS:

NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES (+0.35%)
NIFTY PSUBANKS (+0.24%)
NIFTY MEDIA (+10.11%)

SECTORS LOSERS

NIFTY FMCG (-0.90%)
NIFTY CONSUMER DURABLES (-0.84%)
NIFTY IT (-0.78%)

TODAY’S MARKET RE-CAP:

1) Nifty (-0.23%) started the week in red, breaking its 2-day winning streak.

However, Nifty its still way above its 21 DMA (25066), 50 DMA (24869) and its 100 DMA (24962)

2) BankNifty outperformed as it managed to end the day in green, thus clearly outperforming Nifty.

3) The market breadth (19:31) was in favour of the bears.

4) Nifty Mid-cap (+0.23%) outperfomed while Nifty Small-cap (-0.17%) was in-line with Nifty’s losses.

STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT:

1) Shares of Vodafone Idea fell over 3% on Monday after India’s top court deferred its plea on the additional adjusted gross revenue (AGR) dues as the Centre sought more time.

2) Infrastructure major Larsen & Toubro (L&T) on Monday said its power transmission and distribution vertical has bagged ‘large’ grid infrastructure orders in the Middle East.

According to the company’s project classification, a ‘large’ order is worth Rs 2,500 crore to Rs 5,000 crore..

BULLS OF THE DAY:

ADANIPORTS (+2.10%)
BAJAJ AUTO (+1.50%)
BAJFINANCE (+1.48%)
SHRIRAMFIN (+1.20%)
BAJAJFINSV (+0.98%)

BEARS OF THE DAY:

TATAMOTORS (-2.20%)
INFY (-1.49%)
WIPRO (-1.43%)
HUL (-1.28%)
NESTLEIND (-1.19%)

OUR VIEW FOR TUESDAY’S TRADE

Technically, Nifty was able to defend its key support at 25025 mark.

Bottom-line: Hopes of recovery still seen ahead of festive season at Dalal Street. All eyes on today’s CPI inflation figures releasing in India.

ALL ABOUT NIFTY:
Nifty (CMP: 25227)
Support: 25177/25000
Resistance: 25401/25670
Range: 25179-25322
21 DMA: 25066
50 DMA: 24869
200 DMA: 24196
Trend: Neutral

BULLISH LOOKING STOCKS:

FEDERALBNK

BAJFINANCE

NATIONALUM

BULLISH LOOKING STOCKS (LONG TERM):

HBL ENGINEERING

L&T

BEL

BEARISH LOOKING STOCKS:

HUL

DMART

SIEMENS

STOCKS TO AVOID:

IEX

HDFCAMC

KEI

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


Nifty starts in the red as investors step back and contemplate on Trump’s latest tariff threat on China.

We will spy with one big eye if Nifty bulls regroup at lower levels as tariff worries resurface.

Nifty (-92, 25193)
Sensex (-328, 82173)
Bank Nifty (-124, 56486)

Nifty (CMP: 25193)

SUPPORT: 25000/24877
RESISTANCE: 25300/25670
TRADING RANGE (25100-25300)
BIAS: Positive

SECTOR GAINER:

NIFTY PSU BANKS (+0.11%)
NIFTY AUTO (+0.07%)
NIFTY PHARMA (+0.01%)

SECTOR LOSER:

NIFTY OIL & GAS (-0.83%)
NIFTY IT (-0.82%)
NIFTY METAL (-0.66%)

STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT:

Q2 Indian corporate earnings to trickle in:

• Monday, October 13 – HCL Technologies, Just Dial, Anand Rathi Wealth,

• Tuesday, October 14 – ICICI Lombard, ICICI Prudential, Persistent Systems, and Tech Mahindra.

KEY THEMES FOR THE DAY:

Nifty is snapping its 2-day gains…

Please note, the benchmark Nifty is reacting to the 3-big catalysts:

1) As per the latest, President Donald Trump suggested he may scale back his threat to impose steep new tariffs on China.

2) Wall Street suffered a huge blow-off in Friday’s trade — the worst since April 2025.

3) Wall Street’s rally has stalled after recent record highs, as government shutdown concerns resurfaced.

Top Index Gainers:
BAJAJ AUTO (+1.11%
INDIGO (+0.93%)
BHARTI AIRTEL (0.75%)
MARUTI (+0.64%)
EICHER MOTORS (+0.53%)

Top Index Losers:
ADANI ENTERPRISES (-1.46%)
ONGC (-1.38%)
WIPRO (-1.31%)
INFY (1.19%)
BEL (-1.12%)

11:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

Dow Futures: (+363, 45842)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+441, 24662)

Nikkei (Closed, 48089)
Hang Seng (-916, 25374)

Dollar Index (-0.05%, 98.93)
WTI OIL (+1.72%, 59.91)
Gold (+35, 4048)

Securities in Ban for Trade Date: Monday, October 13th 2025*
RBL BANK
SAMMAANCAP

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


A choppy start is quite likely.

We will spy with one big on how the street will react to easing tensions between US-China. As per the latest, President Donald Trump suggested he may scale back his threat to impose steep new tariffs on China.

Meanwhile, in Washington, the political stalemate-the US government shutdown persisted.

Bottom-line: A bullish consolidation day ahead with stock specific activity commanding investors’ attention.

9:00 am GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty: (-88, 25314)
Dow Futures: (+363, 45842)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+441, 24662)

Nikkei (Closed, 48089)
Hang Seng (-656, 25634)

Dollar Index (-0.05%, 98.93)
WTI OIL (+1.72%, 59.91)
Gold (+35, 4048)

Securities in Ban for Trade Date: Monday, October 13th 2025*
RBL BANK
SAMMAANCAP

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.