INDEX Derivatives
Previous FUTURE Closing to SPOT

NIFTY on 16.10.25 @ +63

NIFTY on 15.10.25 @ +111

NIFTY PCR

NIFTY – 1.08

BANKNIFTY PCR

BANKNIFTY – 1.16

MAX CE OI

NIFTY – 26000, 25500

BNF – 57000

SHORT Covering

NIFTY – 25000-25700

MAX PE OI

NIFTY – 25000, 25500

BNF – 57000

SHORT Buildup

25300-25800

STOCK Derivatives:

Long Buildup: # ASHOKLEY # ITC # BEL # SBICARD

Long Unwinding: # DELHIVERY # ICICIGI # MFSL

Short Buildup : # HDFCLIFE # GLENMARK # POLYCAB # KEI

Short Covering : # SAIL # SYNGENE # EXIDEIND # KPITTECH

Stocks banned in F&O Segment: SAMMAANCAP.

New in Ban: NIL

Out of Ban: NIL

October 16th 2025 FII/DII:

FII : +997.29 crores.

DII: +₹ 4076.20 crores

BSE Derivatives Data

SENSEX Futures on 16.10.25 @ +192
SENSEX Futures on 15.10.25 @ +406

SENSEX PCR
0.96

BANKEX PCR
1.78

MAX CE OI

SENSEX – 83000

BANKEX – 65000

MAX PE OI

SENSEX – 83000

BANKEX – 62000

Happy Trading Day ahead

Disclaimer: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


TOP SECTORS:

Bullish Sector: BANKNIFTY, METAL, INFRA, DEFENCE

Bearish Sector: MEDIA

STOCKS TO WATCH:

BULLISH STOCKS (Long Build-up+ Short Covering): BAJAJ FINANCE, BAJAJ FINSERV, HAL, LARSEN, HBL ENGINEERING, Syrma SGS Technology, Privi Speciality Chemicals, JLHL, BHARTI AIRTEL, NAM INDIA, BANK OF BARODA, PNB, MANAPPURAM, HDFC BANK, DLF, AU BANK, CHOLAMANDALAM FINANCE, SAFARI.

BEARISH STOCKS (Long Unwinding + Short Buildup): TATAMOTORS, AXIS BANK.

Our chart of the day is bullish on BAJAJ FINANCE, HUDCO, DLF, and HAL on any early excessive intraday weakness with an interweek/Intermonth perspective

The 1 stock to BUY right now:

Buy MANAPPURAM (CMP 287): Buy at CMP. Stop at 269. Targets 301/313. Aggressive targets at 329. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Signalling a massive breakout on the upside. Aiming to enjoy strong session after recent outperformance. Key interweek support 274. Major hurdles only at 301 mark. 200-DMA at 238.

Happy Trading Day ahead

Disclaimer: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


🇪🇺 Euro : Core CPI (YoY) (Sep), Core CPI (MoM) (Sep), CPI (YoY) (Sep), CPI (MoM) (Sep), CPI ex Tobacco (YoY) (Sep), CPI ex Tobacco (MoM) (Sep), CPI, n.s.a (Sep), HICP ex Energy & Food (YoY) (Sep), HICP ex Energy and Food (MoM) (Sep)

🇮🇳 India : Bank Loan Growth, Deposit Growth, FX Reserves, USD, M3 Money Supply

🇺🇸 USA : IMF Meetings, Capacity Utilization Rate (Sep), Industrial Production (YoY) (Sep), Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep), Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Sep), Business Inventories (MoM) (Aug), Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3), U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count, U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count.


GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (-36, 25607)

The 3-Positive Catalysts:

1) FII Inflows Turnaround.

2) Fed’s rate cuts bets are likely to overshadow near-term trade concerns.

3) The IMF’s upward revision of India’s FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.6%.

4) WTI crude oil futures stayed depressed near $57.350 per barrel, near its five-month low as investors weighed escalating US-China tensions and a bearish outlook from the International Energy Agency.

Technically speaking, aggressive interweek targets placed at 25,670 (High as on June 30, 2025) — as bullish momentum looks poised to extend.

Meanwhile, the Negative Catalysts:

1) Sentiments remain wary of new tariffs and trade war talks from the White House.
2) The U.S. government shutdown.
3) Hurting sentiments were the US Bank Worries which Sparked Flight to Safety.

Bottom-line: A bullish consolidation day is quite likely.

Key Q2 Earnings on radar:

• Friday, October 17 – Reliance Industries, the centerpiece of the earnings season.

STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT

1) Shares of One 97 Communications, the parent company of Paytm, hit a 52-week high of ₹1,305, gaining 2 per cent on the BSE in Thursday’s intra-day trade amid heavy volumes. The stock price of the fintech company surpassed its previous high of ₹1,296.70 touched on September 4, 2025.

2) Shares of Ola Electric Mobility (Ola Electric), India’s largest electric vehicle company, were buzzing in trade on Thursday, October 16, 2025, with the stock rising up to 5% hitting its upper price band of ₹55.20 per share.

3) Nestle India reported a 17.4 per cent year-on-year drop in net profit to ₹743.2 crore in the July-September quarter, as the same quarter last year included an exceptional item. The company had posted a net profit of ₹899.5 crore in the year-ago period.

4) Wipro reported a marginal rise in net profit for the July–September quarter (Q2) of 2025–26 (FY26). Net profit for the quarter stood at ₹3,246 crore, up 1.15 per cent compared to ₹3,208.8 crore in the same quarter last year. On a sequential basis, profit declined 2.5 per cent.

5) Infosys raised the lower end of its annual revenue guidance and reported a 13.2 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y) rise in second-quarter net profit to ₹7,364 crore, buoyed by a robust large-deal pipeline and broad-based growth across verticals despite an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop.

6) LTIMindtree’s net profit rose 10.4 per cent to ₹1,381.2 crore for the second quarter (Q2FY26). Revenue was up 10.2 percent to ₹10,394.3 crore.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


MARKET TRENDS:

Global cues: Negative
FII: (+997.29 crores)
DII: (+4076.20 crores)
Sentiment: Super Bullish
Market Breadth: Positive
Technicals: Massive Rebound
F&O: 24500 – 26000 zone.

INDIA VIX 10.86 (+3.13%)
USD/INR Futures (October) (87.89)
NIFTY PCR (28th October) 1.08
Bank Nifty PCR (28th October) 1.16

Nifty Outlook: Festive Spirit on Dalal Street — Bullish euphoria is quite likely as early Diwali party quite as Optimism to Sweep and Drive Market Euphoria.

WHAT TECHNICALS TELLS US ON NIFTY & BANK NIFTY:

NIFTY (CMP 25585):
SUPPORT: 25350/25225
RESISTANCE: 25670/26277
RANGE: 25450-25670
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 25096
50 DMA: 24909
200 DMA: 24220

SENSEX (CMP 83468)
SUPPORT: 82500/82000
RESISTANCE: 84200/85979
RANGE: 82800-84100
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 81826
50 DMA: 81336
200 DMA: 79580

BANK NIFTY (CMP 57423)
SUPPORT: 56800/56200
RESISTANCE: 57800/58600
RANGE: 56900-57750
BIAS: Positive
21 DMA: 55738
50 DMA: 55210
200 DMA: 53438

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


Gift Nifty is pointing to a cautious start for our stock markets.

The Negative Catalysts:

1) Sentiments remain wary of new tariffs and trade war talks from the White House.
2) The U.S. government shutdown.
3) Concerns of bad loans in the US resurface. So, hurting sentiments are the US Bank Worries which are Sparking Flight to Safety.

Bottom-line: A bullish consolidation day is quite likely.

7:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (-31, 25613)
Dow Futures: (-59, 45893)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (-7, 24653)

Nikkei (-203, 48075)
Hang Seng (Closed, 25889)

Dow Jones (-301, 45952)
Nasdaq Composite (-108, 22563)
Bovespa (-404, 142200).

WHAT HAPPENED AT WALL STREET IN OVERNIGHT TRADE:

In Thursday’s trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 301 points, or 0.7%. The S&P 500 was down 0.6%. The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.5%.

Wall Street fell despite Tailwind: Dovish remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have rekindled optimism that the aggressive US rate-cut cycle may begin sooner than expected.

Gold prices ($4356 per ounce) scaled a new all-time-high at $4,365, amidst escalating US-China trade tensions and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts boosted demand for safe-haven assets.

WTI crude oil futures stayed depressed near $57.37 per barrel, near its five-month low as investors weighed escalating US-China tensions and a bearish outlook from the International Energy Agency. The agency also cut its demand growth forecast, citing a weaker economic outlook, while several industry executives warned that gasoline and diesel demand may have already peaked.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


Good Morning Early, Readers!!

Gift Nifty sinks as sentiments remain wary of new tariffs and trade war talks from the White House.

6:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:

GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (-42, 25601)
Dow Futures: (-73, 45875)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (-33, 24624)

Nikkei (-495, 47785)
Hang Seng (Closed, 25889)

Dow Jones (-301, 45952)
Nasdaq Composite (-108, 22563)
Bovespa (-404, 142200).

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 301 points, or 0.7%. The S&P 500 was down 0.6%. The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.5%.

Also, hurting sentiments were the US Bank Worries which Sparked Flight to Safety.

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantees performance of the intermediary or provides any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


FIIs handsomely buy in today’s trade✅

FII Cash: +997.3 Cr.
DII Cash: +4,076.2 Cr.

FII Idx Fut: +5,066.7 Cr.
FII Idx Opt: +23,618.7 Cr.
Stk Fut: +463.0 Cr.
Stk Opt: +239.0 Cr.

FII Week Till Date
FII Cash: -819.9 Cr.
DII Cash: +14,720.8 Cr.

FII/DII Month till Date
FII Cash: -895.7 Cr.
DII Cash: +26,517.8 Cr.

FY-26 Till Date
FII Cash: -1,10,356.1 Cr.
DII Cash: +4,10,064.0 Cr.

Gift Nifty at 20:41 (25633, -10)


Nifty finally reclaims the much coveted 25500 ahead of Diwali week!

NIFTY (+262, 25585)
Sensex (+813, 83419)
Bank Nifty (+623, 57423)

Nifty bulls cheered IMF upgrading India’s GDP Growth forecast by 20 basis points to 6.6% for FY-26.

All sectoral indices, barring PSU Banks, ended in green led by robust buying in FMCG space, where Nifty FMCG Index was up 2.02%.

USD/INR October Futures tumble to 87.89!

Long story short: Breakout play likely to continue on back of

  1. Rate cut hopes by Fed and RBI.
  2. Positive global cues.
  3. Consumer spending amidst lower GST rates ahead of festive season.
  4. IMF increasing India’s GDP Growth forecast by 20 bps to 6.6% for FY-26.

Adv-Dec 45—05

INDIA VIX 10.86 (+3.13%)

NIFTY PCR (20th OCT) 1.54

NIFTY PCR (28th OCT) 1.08

USD/INR Futures (OCT) (-0.25%, 87.89)

SECTOR GAINERS:

NIFTY FMCG (+2.02%)
NIFTY REALTY (+1.90%)
NIFTY CONSUMER DURABLES (+1.53%)

SECTORS LOSERS

NIFTY PSUBANKS (-0.44%)

TODAY’S MARKET RE-CAP:

1) Nifty (+1.03%) staged a momentum play in Thursday’s session as it remained in green right from the word ‘go’ in early action.

Nifty its also way above its 21 DMA (25096), 50 DMA (24909) and its 100 DMA (24977)

2) Bank Nifty too echoed Nifty’s gains, up 1.10% for the day.

3) The market breadth (45:05) was in favour of the bulls.

4) Broader markets too joined the rally where Nifty Mid-cap 50 (+0.53%) and Nifty Small-cap (+0.24%) totally outperformed the benchmarks.

STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT:

1) Shares of One 97 Communications, the parent company of Paytm, hit a 52-week high of ₹1,305, gaining 2 per cent on the BSE in Thursday’s intra-day trade amid heavy volumes. The stock price of the fintech company surpassed its previous high of ₹1,296.70 touched on September 4, 2025.

2) Shares of Ola Electric Mobility (Ola Electric), India’s largest electric vehicle company, were buzzing in trade on Thursday, October 16, 2025, with the stock rising up to 5% hitting its upper price band of ₹55.20 per share.

3) Nestlé SA plans to cut 16,000 jobs as new Chief Executive Officer Philipp Navratil seeks to accelerate a turnaround at the Swiss foodmaker.

BULLS OF THE DAY:

NESTLEIND (+4.76%)
TATACONSUM (+3.10%)
TITAN (+2.45%)
AXISBANK (+2.25%)
KOTAKBANK (+2.11%)

BEARS OF THE DAY:

ETERNAL (-3.91%)
HDFCLIFE (-2.38%)
SHRIRAMFIN (-0.54%)
INFY (-0.24%)
JIOFIN (-0.18%)

OUR VIEW FOR FRIDAY’S TRADE

Technically, the next goalpost seen at 25670 mark, high as on June 30th 2025.

The benchmarks will look to end yet another week on a positive note.

Bottom-line: Festive season optimism likely to help benchmarks acquire more heights.

ALL ABOUT NIFTY:
Nifty (CMP: 25585)
Support: 25401/25225
Resistance: 25670/26000
Range: 25465-25670
21 DMA: 25096
50 DMA: 24909
200 DMA: 24220
Trend: Positive

BULLISH LOOKING STOCKS:

BEL

RBLBANK

RELIANCE

BULLISH LOOKING STOCKS (LONG TERM):

HBL ENGINEERING

L&T

CHOLAFIN

BEARISH LOOKING STOCKS:

KEI

MFSL

CUMMINSIND

STOCKS TO AVOID:

AMBUJACEM

HDFCAMC

IEX

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.


Nifty leaps ahead as Bank Nifty accelerates toward its all-time high, while the Nifty Auto index (+1.23%) shifts into top gear.

We will spy with one big eye if bulls can maintain momentum and close the session on a firm note — early signs suggest the advantage remains firmly with them.

Nifty (+135, 25459)
Sensex (+459, 83065)
Bank Nifty (+322, 57123)

Nifty (CMP: 25459)

SUPPORT: 25371/25251
RESISTANCE: 25670/26277
TRADING RANGE (25400-25550)
BIAS: Positive

SECTOR GAINER:

NIFTY CONSUMER (+1.19%)
NIFTY AUTO (+1.19%)
NIFTY REALITY (+0.90%)

SECTOR LOSER:

NIFTY PSU BANKS (-0.19%)
NIFTY IT (-0.05%)
NIFTY OIL& GAS (-0.03%)

STOCKS IN SPOTLIGHT:

1) Oberoi Realty surged 4.4% after the company posted a robust set of Q2 numbers.

Consolidated net profit jumped 29% YoY to ₹760.26 crore, while net sales climbed 34.8% to ₹1,779.04 crore for Q2 FY26, compared with the same period last year.

2) KEC International edged up 0.37% after the company announced a new order win worth ₹1,038 crore for the design, supply, and installation of a 380 kV GIS substation in Saudi Arabia, reinforcing its strong international presence.

KEY THEMES FOR THE DAY:

Our call of the day which suggests the biggest risk for Nifty and its stocks is the renewed US-China trade war!

We will spy with one big eye on China’s decision to step up curbs on its exports of rare-earth metals as this appears to be a broader plan by Beijing to control the world’s supply chains.# Q2 Indian corporate earnings to trickle in this week:

Key Earnings on radar:

• Thursday, October 16 – Infosys, Jio Financial, LTIMindtree, Mastek, Nestlé India, Wipro, and Zee Entertainment.

• Friday, October 17 – Reliance Industries, the centerpiece of the earnings season.

Top Index Gainers:
TITAN (+2.73%)
ADANI PORTS (+2.67%)
TATA MOTORS (+2.19%)
AXIS BANK (+1.88%)
HINDALCO (+1.57%)

Top Index Losers:
HDFC LIFE (-1.64%)
SHRIRAM FINANCE (-1.5%)
SBI LIFE (-1.11%)
SUN PHARMA (-0.55%)
TCS (-0.52%)

# 11:00 AM GLOBAL UPDATE:
Dow Futures: (+37, 46290)
Nasdaq 100 Futures (+39, 24785)

Nikkei (+571, 48236)
Hang Seng (-202, 25708)

Dollar Index (-0.20%, 98.86)
WTI OIL (+0.75%, 58.71)
Gold (+15, 4223)

Securities in Ban for Trade Date: Thursday, October 16th 2025*
SAMMAANCAP

Disclaimer/ Disclosure: The investments & trading ideas recommended in the market analysis, research reports, etc. may not be suitable for all investors. This article or data points does not construe investment advice as stock market investments are subject to market risks so please refer to your financial consultant advice before Investing or trading. All information is a point of view, and is for educational, Learning and informational use only. The author or the group admin accepts no liability for any interpretation of articles or comments on this platform being used for actual investments. Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives, goals and financial position only after consulting with registered market intermediaries.

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