GIFT Nifty 🇮🇳: (+27, 25992)
Market Recap:
Nifty succumbed to selling pressure in Monday’s trade, ending below the psychological 26000 mark.
The 2-Big Questions:
1) Has the recent rally run out of steam?
2) Can the Nifty recover after the last 2-days of sharp sell-off?
The Road Ahead:
This Tuesday morning, Gift Nifty is indicating a cautious optimistic start and that brings us to our call of the day which suggests any intraday strength, the rebound could be bit ephemeral…could be bit short lived.
Volatility could be the hallmark of day’s trading as traders brace for November F&O expiry on Tuesday, November 25th 2025.
The 2-Biggest Headwinds:
1) FIIs net sellers in November 2025 to the tune of ₹18,013 crores.
2) Investors await clearer signals on the India-US trade deal.
The Biggest Positive Catalysts:
Wall Street started Monday’s trade on firm positive footing.
Bullish traders are ramping up expectations of a Fed rate cut next month after dovish remarks from the New York Fed President John Williams.
Currently, the odds of a 25 bps reduction in the federal funds rate are estimated at around 65%.
Upcoming economic data:
India’s GDP growth data for the quarter ending 30 September 2025 is due on Friday, November 28th
Technically Speaking:
Technically speaking, Nifty’s upside breakout remains on the table — however, a meaningful confirmation now requires a close above the 26,109 level.
The most critical support zone to monitor is placed at 25,671, and a break below could shift sentiment firmly in favour of the bears.
Long Story Short: For bullish traders, the Gyan Mantra is simple: Stay Cautious
Volatility is likely to remain elevated in the near term.
Now, here is the preferred trade on Nifty and Bank Nifty:
Nifty (25960): Sell between 26050-26100 zone. Stop 26421. Targets 25871/25650. Aggressive targets at 25337-25350 zone.
Bank Nifty (58835): Buy between 58100-58300 zone. Stop at 56971. Targets 59300/59550. Aggressive targets at 59900-60100 zone.
Our chart of the day is bearish on BAJAJ FINSERV, BAJAJ FINANCE and COAL INDIA on any early excessive intraday weakness with an interweek/Intermonth perspective.
The 1 Stock to Sell Right Now: Sell COAL INDIA (CMP 373): Sell at CMP. Stop at 395. Targets 361/349. Aggressive targets at 321. (Interweek Strategy). Rationale: Major underperfomer. Signalling a massive breakdown on the daily charts from a complex Double Top pattern. Key interweek support 349. Major hurdles only at 393 mark. Weakening Momentum. 200-DMA at 386.
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